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- <text id=90TT3204>
- <title>
- Nov. 26, 1990: The Case For War
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1990
- Nov. 26, 1990 The Junk Mail Explosion!
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- ESSAY, Page 106
- The Case for War
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>By George J. Church
- </p>
- <p> So Congress wants to reassert its constitutional prerogative
- to decide whether or not the nation should go to war. About
- time. U.S. Presidents have gone much too far toward claiming
- (or rather exercising without even bothering to claim) the
- power of Louis XIV to send a whole nation into battle on his
- sole judgment, even whim. The makers of the Constitution were
- determined never to give one man that power in the new
- republic, and they were right. If the U.S. is to fight Iraq,
- it should be by conscious decision of its elected
- representatives, reached after full debate.
- </p>
- <p> But that debate should not be dominated by the antiwar
- critics, as the front and op-ed pages have been in the past few
- days. In a full-fledged congressional debate, one may hope, the
- case for war will be argued more forcefully and cogently than
- an oddly tongue-tied Bush Administration has lately managed to
- do. And there is a compelling case for war. Yes, even if one
- believes, as I do, that it will probably not be won in a week
- or so by heavy bombing, but may turn into a long, bloody and
- disruptive struggle with major casualties.
- </p>
- <p> Oil is one reason, and to make (not concede) that point is
- by no means to admit that we would be fighting for a few cents
- a gallon on the price of gasoline or to maintain a fat,
- self-indulgent life-style. What is at stake is the power to
- shut off the heat in millions of homes, freezing the old and
- frail; to close down thousands of factories and utility plants,
- causing mass unemployment and no little additional poverty. A
- price run-up or supply restriction sharp enough could touch off
- a similar worldwide recession--and an inflationary recession
- to boot. That power cannot be put into the hands of a
- megalomaniac who can be trusted to deal with anyone who might
- try to stop him by squeezing in the most vulnerable spot. And
- if Saddam Hussein gets away with his seizure of Kuwait, he will
- be master not only of the supplies from that nation and his own
- Iraq, but also, through invasion or bullying, of the oil pumped
- out of Saudi Arabia, the gulf sheikdoms and other states. Of
- course, the U.S. should have acted long ago to lessen its
- dependence on foreign oil. Of course, it should do everything
- it can in that direction now. So what? For the immediate
- future, a reliable supply of oil at affordable prices is vital
- to any modern economy. It just is, and the loftiest moral and
- ecological disapproval cannot change that brute fact.
- </p>
- <p> But oil is not the only or even main cause for war, whatever
- the cynics say. Would the U.S. have fought to conquer the
- Middle Eastern oil fields if Saddam Hussein had peacefully
- persuaded Kuwait, Saudi Arabia et al. to restrict production
- enough to shoot the price up to $40 per bbl.? Get real. The
- central issue is aggression, and how--make that whether--it can be contained in the post-cold war world. And forget all
- the moaning about shedding blood to keep feudal autocracies in
- control of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. One might well wish for
- more appealing victims and potential victims to champion. But
- if aggression is to be opposed only when the targets are kindly
- liberal democracies, the world is going to become a far more
- dangerous, savage and bloody place.
- </p>
- <p> Comparisons of Saddam Hussein to Hitler may be overblown.
- The Iraqi dictator has not built a Middle Eastern Auschwitz--yet. But Saddam does seem to share one Hitlerian trait
- identified by British historian Alan Bullock: he is "consumed
- [by] the will to power in its crudest and purest form...power and domination for its own sake," to be expanded without
- limit. If Saddam is allowed to keep part of Kuwait--and make
- no mistake, that is what those advocating a "diplomatic
- solution" are hinting at--he will be back to take a bite out
- of another victim. Not right away, maybe, but after the U.S.
- troops have left Saudi Arabia and all has returned to a
- delusive quiet. If he meets resistance, he will use chemical,
- bacteriological and, one day, nuclear weapons. Millions may
- die.
- </p>
- <p> Nor is Saddam the only leader who would redraw the map of
- the world by force--to rectify border disputes, reclaim
- "unredeemed" territory, seize a neighbor's natural resources.
- What lesson would these others draw from a failure to stop
- Saddam? Go ahead. The U.S. certainly will not stop you. Oh, it
- may shout and scream and bluster. But if it did not use force
- when a vital economic interest was threatened, when it had a
- clear moral justification and the support of a worldwide
- coalition, when would it? Letting Iraq's aggression stand is a
- recipe for a world of endless aggressions, of local and
- not-so-local wars, some possibly nuclear (India vs. Pakistan
- for a fourth round? Israel against the Arabs yet again?), and
- of bloody chaos from which the U.S. could not forever stand
- aloof.
- </p>
- <p> But, says the antiwar faction, Saddam can be turned back
- without war, by persistence in the embargo. If only that were
- true! All too probably, those who make this argument are
- deluding themselves. Far more likely, if Iraq is still
- occupying Kuwait next Aug. 2, a year after the invasion, much
- of the world will conclude that Saddam has won. The embargo
- will begin leaking badly; nation after nation will start
- casting around for a diplomatic solution; Washington itself
- will be under growing pressure to bring G.I.s home from Saudi
- Arabia where they will have been "sitting around in the sand
- for a year accomplishing nothing." A formula will be found to
- let Iraq keep part of Kuwait. Curtains for any hope of a world
- in which aggression does not pay.
- </p>
- <p> Maybe, just maybe, Saddam can be scared out of Kuwait by the
- threat of a war that would destroy his military machine and/or
- his life. But that would require something like an ultimatum,
- backed by a genuine readiness to fight, and Saddam might not
- believe it even then. So the U.S. has to prepare for war.
- Anyone with a shred of human feeling can say that only with a
- suppressed scream of fear and pain. The U.S. confronts a
- bitter, tragic, even ghastly necessity. But, this time, it is
- a necessity that there is no honorable way to avoid.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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